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J Am Med Inform Assoc 14:206-211 doi:10.1197/jamia.M2253
  • Original Investigation

Linking Surveillance to Action: Incorporation of Real-time Regional Data into a Medical Decision Rule

Table 3

Test Characteristics of the Prediction Rule Without12 and With Epidemiological Context

Nigrovic Published Prediction Model (%, 95% Confidence Interval) Sample Rule “A” (%, 95% Confidence Interval) Sample Rule “B” (%, 95% Confidence Interval) Sample Rule “C” - Best Model (%, 95% Confidence Interval)
Sensitivity 98 (94–100) 97 (93–99) 98 (94–100) 98 (94–100)
Specificity 72 (68–76) 81 (77–84) 72 (68–76) 81 (77–84)
Positive predictive value 44 (38–50) 53 (46–60) 44 (38–50) 53 (46–60)
Negative predictive value 99 (98–100) 99 (98–100) 99 (98–100) 100* (98–100)
  • Negative predictive value of sample rule C is 431/433, which was rounded to 100 from 99.5%.

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