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J Am Med Inform Assoc 15:787-790 doi:10.1197/jamia.M2753
  • Original Investigation

Evaluating the Accuracy of Existing EMR Data as Predictors of Follow-up Providers

Table 1

Performance of Predictors on Inpatient and ED Encounters (95% CI)

Inpatient Emergency
Predictor Sensitivity PPV Sensitivity PPV
1 PCP named by patient in admission record 20% 26% 19% 22%
(19%–21%) (25%–27%) (19%–20%) (21%–23%)
2 Last provider who had a scheduled appointment with the patient 28% 48% 24% 35%
(27%–29%) (47%–49%) (24%–25%) (34%–36%)
3 Provider(s) who had the most scheduled appointments with the patient in the previous 180 days 31% 38% 28% 25%
(31%–32%) (37%–39%) (28%–29%) (25%–26%)
4 All providers who had scheduled appointments with the patient in previous 180 days 48% 34% 42% 27%
(47%–49%) (33%–35%) (41%–43%) (26%–27%)
5 Last provider to order medication for the patient 15% 39% 14% 32%
(14%–15%) (38%–41%) (13%–14%) (31%–33%)
6 All providers who ordered medication for the patient in the previous 180 days 20% 29% 18% 25%
(19%–20%) (28%–30%) (17%–19%) (24%–26%)
7 All providers who ordered laboratory tests for the patient in the previous 180 days 26% 12% 18% 13%
(25%–27%) (12%–13%) (17%–19%) (13%–14%)
8 All providers who dictated clinical documents about the patient in the previous 180 days 48% 7% 33% 5%
(47%–49%) (6%–7%) (32%–34%) (5%–5%)
  • CI = confidence interval; ED = emergency department; PCP = primary care provider; PPV = positive predictive value.

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