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J Am Med Inform Assoc 4:313-321 doi:10.1136/jamia.1997.0040313
  • Original Investigation

Using Computer-based Medical Records to Predict Mortality Risk for Inner-city Patients with Reactive Airways Disease

Table 3

Example of Using a Threshold of Predicted Probability of Death of >0.15 To Define Patients in the Validation Cohort as High Risk

Status Predicted Probability of Death in 3 Years ≤0.15 (n = 598) Predicted Probability of Death in 3 Years >0.15 (n = 186)
Actually alive in 3 years (n = 686) 553 (92%) 133 (72%)
Actually dead in 3 years (n = 98) 45 (8%) 53 (28%)

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